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Extreme Values for Race-Specific Unemployment Rates

  • 1.  Extreme Values for Race-Specific Unemployment Rates

    Posted 06-14-2023 04:23 PM

    Hi all,

    New here! I've been lurking for a couple of months as I try to get myself familiarized with the quirks of working with ACS data. But I have run into a problem with some perplexing estimates in some key variables used in my research, and I am hoping someone here might have some insight.

    Specifically, my research team and I are interested in the impact of county-level, race-specific characteristics on county child welfare performance indicators. Race-specific unemployment rates are expected to explain some of the variability in county performance. The problem we are running into is that the rates drawn from S2301 contain a substantial percentage of extreme estimates for county-level black rates (0s and, to a far lesser extent, 100s). See the first table below. I'm guessing this is a coverage issue, as 90% of the cases have margins of error above 23%.

    I suppose my question here is three-fold:

    - Am I correct to assume that many of these extreme values are due to limited coverage?

    - If so, are there established best practices when using the ACS estimates to distinguish between valid and problematic estimates? I want to avoid recoding valid 0's as missing just as much as I want to avoid including problematic estimates.

    - If the ACS data are simply not ideal for obtaining race-specific estimates, does anyone happen to know if there other data sources that would provide county level estimates by race?

    Thanks so much for your help (and your patience!).

    ~ Miranda

    black_unemprate — black unemployment rate (age 16+) (s2301_c04_011e)
    Valid Obs Freq. Percent Valid ***.
    0 2306 17.86 19.86 19.86
    .2 1 0.01 0.01 19.87
    .3 3 0.02 0.03 19.90
    : : : : :
    98.2 1 0.01 0.01 98.31
    100 196 1.52 1.69 100.00
    Total 11609 89.89 100.00
    Missing
    . 1306 10.11
    Total 12915 100.00

    Example of Raw Data


    year state county name pop16plus_uer pop16plus_m white_uer white_m black_uer black_m hisp_uer hisp_m nhwhite_uer nhwhite_m
    2011 38 101 Ward County, North Dakota 2.9 0.7 2.6 0.7 0 4.2 10.3 9.4 2.5 0.7
    2011 51 113 Madison County, Virginia 5.9 2.2 6.9 2.5 0 4.9 0 24.1 6.9 2.5
    2012 27 105 Nobles County, Minnesota 5.8 1.4 5.9 1.6 0 4.9 14.2 5.4 3.9 1
    2011 27 105 Nobles County, Minnesota 4.6 1.1 4.4 1.1 0 5.8 10.4 4.9 3.2 0.9
    2014 8 37 Eagle County, Colorado 5 1.4 4.7 1.4 0 6 8.3 3.4 3.9 1.4
    2011 21 173 Montgomery County, Kentucky 8.8 1.8 9.1 1.9 0 6.4 0 15.3 9.2 1.9
    2012 40 137 Stephens County, Oklahoma 7.3 1.2 7.5 1.4 0 6.6 6.3 4.7 7.5 1.4
    2013 48 435 Sutton County, Texas 1.9 1.5 2.1 1.6 0 66.4 0 3.3 5.1 3.9
    2011 19 59 Dickinson County, Iowa 4.8 1.4 5 1.4 0 15.3 0 26.6 5 1.4
    2013 21 203 Rockcastle County, Kentucky 12 2.5 11.9 2.4 0 100 18.2 51.6 11.9 2.4
    2011 31 67 Gage County, Nebraska 6.7 1.6 6.5 1.6 0 100 32.3 13.8 6.2 1.6
    2011 27 41 Douglas County, Minnesota 5.6 0.9 5.3 0.8 0 58.2 0.6 1.8 5.3 0.8
    2012 56 33 Sheridan County, Wyoming 3.5 1 3.3 1 0 61.8 7.1 7.3 3.3 1